Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That EDP - Energias de Portugal (ELI:EDP) Is Using Debt Extensively

ENXTLS:EDP
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. (ELI:EDP) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for EDP - Energias de Portugal

What Is EDP - Energias de Portugal's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2021, EDP - Energias de Portugal had €16.6b of debt, up from €15.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €1.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €15.1b.

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ENXTLS:EDP Debt to Equity History July 6th 2021

A Look At EDP - Energias de Portugal's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that EDP - Energias de Portugal had liabilities of €7.07b due within 12 months and liabilities of €22.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €1.42b in cash and €3.97b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €23.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge €18.0b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

EDP - Energias de Portugal has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The good news is that EDP - Energias de Portugal improved its EBIT by 7.6% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if EDP - Energias de Portugal can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, EDP - Energias de Portugal created free cash flow amounting to 3.3% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

To be frank both EDP - Energias de Portugal's level of total liabilities and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like EDP - Energias de Portugal commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that EDP - Energias de Portugal's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example EDP - Energias de Portugal has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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