Stock Analysis

KGHM Polska Miedz S.A.'s (WSE:KGH) high institutional ownership speaks for itself as stock continues to impress, up 9.8% over last week

WSE:KGH
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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, KGHM Polska Miedz's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • The top 6 shareholders own 52% of the company
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

A look at the shareholders of KGHM Polska Miedz S.A. (WSE:KGH) can tell us which group is most powerful. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 42% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

Last week’s 9.8% gain means that institutional investors were on the positive end of the spectrum even as the company has shown strong longer-term trends. The gains from last week would have further boosted the one-year return to shareholders which currently stand at 54%.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about KGHM Polska Miedz.

View our latest analysis for KGHM Polska Miedz

ownership-breakdown
WSE:KGH Ownership Breakdown May 22nd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About KGHM Polska Miedz?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in KGHM Polska Miedz. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see KGHM Polska Miedz's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
WSE:KGH Earnings and Revenue Growth May 22nd 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in KGHM Polska Miedz. Ministry of State Treasury is currently the largest shareholder, with 32% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 6.0% and 5.1% of the stock.

We also observed that the top 6 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of KGHM Polska Miedz

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our data cannot confirm that board members are holding shares personally. Not all jurisdictions have the same rules around disclosing insider ownership, and it is possible we have missed something, here. So you can click here learn more about the CEO.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 26% stake in KGHM Polska Miedz. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important.

Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KGHM Polska Miedz might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.