Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Grupa Azoty (WSE:ATT) Use Debt?

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WSE:ATT

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Grupa Azoty S.A. (WSE:ATT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupa Azoty

How Much Debt Does Grupa Azoty Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Grupa Azoty had zł10.4b of debt, an increase on zł9.01b, over one year. However, it also had zł694.1m in cash, and so its net debt is zł9.74b.

WSE:ATT Debt to Equity History July 17th 2024

How Healthy Is Grupa Azoty's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grupa Azoty had liabilities of zł15.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of zł3.12b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł694.1m and zł2.77b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling zł15.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the zł1.81b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Grupa Azoty would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Grupa Azoty can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Grupa Azoty had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 40%, to zł13b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Grupa Azoty's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable zł1.8b at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost zł2.6b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Grupa Azoty that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.