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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Eurocash S.A. (WSE:EUR) For Its Upcoming Dividend
It looks like Eurocash S.A. (WSE:EUR) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase Eurocash's shares before the 22nd of August in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 23rd of December.
The company's next dividend payment will be zł0.72 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of zł0.72 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Eurocash stock has a trailing yield of around 6.2% on the current share price of zł11.58. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Eurocash's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.
Check out our latest analysis for Eurocash
If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Eurocash distributed an unsustainably high 156% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. The good news is it paid out just 7.2% of its free cash flow in the last year.
It's good to see that while Eurocash's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Eurocash's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 10% a year over the previous five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Eurocash's dividend payments per share have declined at 2.2% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.
The Bottom Line
Should investors buy Eurocash for the upcoming dividend? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 156% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. Bottom line: Eurocash has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.
Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Eurocash. Be aware that Eurocash is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious...
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Eurocash might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:EUR
Eurocash
Engages in the wholesale distribution of food and other fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) in Poland.
Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.