Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Grupa RECYKL S.A. (WSE:GRC) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Grupa RECYKL
How Much Debt Does Grupa RECYKL Carry?
As you can see below, Grupa RECYKL had zł42.5m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have zł2.29m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł40.2m.
How Healthy Is Grupa RECYKL's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grupa RECYKL had liabilities of zł39.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł91.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł2.29m as well as receivables valued at zł32.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total zł96.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of zł129.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Grupa RECYKL's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.4 and interest cover of 4.2 times, it seems to us that Grupa RECYKL is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. One way Grupa RECYKL could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 11%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Grupa RECYKL will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Grupa RECYKL created free cash flow amounting to 9.6% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Both Grupa RECYKL's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its level of total liabilities were discouraging. But its not so bad at growing its EBIT. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Grupa RECYKL is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Grupa RECYKL has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:GRC
Grupa RECYKL
Engages in the collection and management of packaging and post-consumer waste in Poland and internationally.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.