Stock Analysis

Newag's (WSE:NWG) 74% YoY earnings expansion surpassed the shareholder returns over the past year

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WSE:NWG

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. For example, the Newag S.A. (WSE:NWG) share price is up 63% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 20% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 14% in three years.

Since it's been a strong week for Newag shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Newag

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the last year Newag grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 74%. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 63% increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. We don't think its coincidental that the share price is growing at a similar rate to the earnings per share.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

WSE:NWG Earnings Per Share Growth June 21st 2024

We know that Newag has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Newag will grow revenue in the future.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Newag's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Newag's TSR of 68% over the last 1 year is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Newag shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 68% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Is Newag cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

But note: Newag may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Polish exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Newag might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.