Stock Analysis

Is Aega (OB:AEGA) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

OB:AEGA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Aega ASA (OB:AEGA) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aega

How Much Debt Does Aega Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Aega had €7.62m of debt in March 2024, down from €8.43m, one year before. However, it does have €1.86m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €5.76m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:AEGA Debt to Equity History August 13th 2024

A Look At Aega's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Aega had liabilities of €2.23m due within a year, and liabilities of €11.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.86m and €1.35m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €10.4m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €3.42m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Aega would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Aega's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Aega wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 21%, to €3.4m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Aega produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €6.8k. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost €2.0m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Aega you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.