Stock Analysis
Orkla ASA's (OB:ORK) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Norway, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Orkla as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Orkla
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Orkla would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.2%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 23% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 28% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Orkla is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Orkla's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Orkla's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Orkla with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:ORK
Orkla
Engages in branded consumer goods, and industrial and financial investment businesses.