Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From Nel ASA's (OB:NEL) P/S After Its 28% Share Price Crash

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OB:NEL

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Nel ASA (OB:NEL) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 47% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Nel is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4x, considering almost half the companies in Norway's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Nel

OB:NEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 13th 2024

How Has Nel Performed Recently?

Nel certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nel will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Nel's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nel would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 168% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 32% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nel's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Nel's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look into Nel shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nel that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.