Stock Analysis

Here's Why Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad (KLSE:TRIMODE) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KLSE:TRIMODE
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad (KLSE:TRIMODE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad

What Is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad had debt of RM57.2m, up from RM38.2m in one year. However, it also had RM8.13m in cash, and so its net debt is RM49.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:TRIMODE Debt to Equity History November 19th 2024

How Strong Is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad had liabilities of RM19.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM56.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM8.13m in cash and RM16.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM51.7m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's RM48.1m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.5 hit our confidence in Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Another concern for investors might be that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's EBIT fell 20% in the last year. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's interest cover and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.