Stock Analysis

Is Astral Asia Berhad (KLSE:AASIA) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

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KLSE:AASIA

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Astral Asia Berhad (KLSE:AASIA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Astral Asia Berhad

What Is Astral Asia Berhad's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Astral Asia Berhad had RM17.9m of debt, an increase on RM13.4m, over one year. However, it also had RM543.0k in cash, and so its net debt is RM17.3m.

KLSE:AASIA Debt to Equity History July 11th 2024

A Look At Astral Asia Berhad's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Astral Asia Berhad had liabilities of RM8.71m due within a year, and liabilities of RM90.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM543.0k and RM1.71m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM96.6m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's RM72.6m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Astral Asia Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Astral Asia Berhad made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to RM14m, which is a fall of 22%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Astral Asia Berhad's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping RM8.3m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through RM8.7m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Astral Asia Berhad (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.