Stock Analysis
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Borneo Oil Berhad (KLSE:BORNOIL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Borneo Oil Berhad's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2020 Borneo Oil Berhad had RM14.1m of debt, an increase on RM12.4m, over one year. On the flip side, it has RM9.55m in cash leading to net debt of about RM4.57m.
How Healthy Is Borneo Oil Berhad's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Borneo Oil Berhad had liabilities of RM23.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM34.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had RM9.55m in cash and RM42.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM5.17m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Having regard to Borneo Oil Berhad's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the RM271.3m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Borneo Oil Berhad's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.38 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.7 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Sadly, Borneo Oil Berhad's EBIT actually dropped 7.2% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Borneo Oil Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last two years, Borneo Oil Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Borneo Oil Berhad's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its net debt to EBITDA was refreshing. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Borneo Oil Berhad is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Borneo Oil Berhad (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KLSE:BORNOIL
Borneo Oil Berhad
An investment holding company, operates and franchises fast food restaurants in Malaysia and Australia.