Stock Analysis

Malayan Banking Berhad's (KLSE:MAYBANK) Shareholders Are Down 22% On Their Shares

KLSE:MAYBANK
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Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Malayan Banking Berhad (KLSE:MAYBANK) shareholders, since the share price is down 22% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 4.0%.

View our latest analysis for Malayan Banking Berhad

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the three years that the share price fell, Malayan Banking Berhad's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.4% each year. The share price decline of 8% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
KLSE:MAYBANK Earnings Per Share Growth February 21st 2021

Dive deeper into Malayan Banking Berhad's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Malayan Banking Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Malayan Banking Berhad the TSR over the last 3 years was -5.5%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Malayan Banking Berhad shareholders are up 2.0% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 5% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Malayan Banking Berhad that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Malayan Banking Berhad better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MY exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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