GMéxico Transportes. de Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GMXT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GMXT * (MX$32.91) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$50.34)

Is GMXT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GMXT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GMXT * (MX$32.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$50.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GMXT * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GMXT *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GMXT *. This is calculated by dividing GMXT *'s market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GMXT *'s n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	Mex$143.81b

GMXT * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	7.9x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GMXT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GMXT * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	22.1x
ASUR B Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V	12.9x	9.6%	Mex$154.4b
GAP B Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. de	18.3x	13.1%	Mex$168.9b
PINFRA * Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura S. A. B. de C. V	9.8x	5.2%	Mex$73.3b
ALEATIC * Aleatica. de	47.3x	n/a	Mex$83.9b
GMXT * GMéxico Transportes. de	15.9x	18.5%	Mex$143.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GMXT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GMXT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Transportation Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	35.6%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	35.6%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GMXT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GMXT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GMXT * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.9x
Fair PE Ratio	15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GMXT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GMXT * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$32.91	Mex$54.24 +64.8%	40.7%	Mex$103.45	Mex$32.41	n/a	7
Sep ’25	Mex$32.98	Mex$54.24 +64.5%	40.7%	Mex$103.45	Mex$32.41	n/a	7
Aug ’25	Mex$36.28	Mex$54.24 +49.5%	40.7%	Mex$103.45	Mex$32.41	n/a	7
Jul ’25	Mex$37.19	Mex$44.22 +18.9%	22.4%	Mex$60.20	Mex$32.73	n/a	5
Jun ’25	Mex$40.31	Mex$44.22 +9.7%	22.4%	Mex$60.20	Mex$32.73	n/a	5
May ’25	Mex$36.56	Mex$41.55 +13.6%	18.3%	Mex$51.30	Mex$30.97	n/a	4
Apr ’25	Mex$36.79	Mex$42.18 +14.6%	16.4%	Mex$50.97	Mex$30.86	n/a	5
Mar ’25	Mex$38.08	Mex$42.18 +10.8%	16.4%	Mex$50.97	Mex$30.86	n/a	5
Feb ’25	Mex$39.80	Mex$42.18 +6.0%	16.4%	Mex$50.97	Mex$30.86	n/a	5
Jan ’25	Mex$38.20	Mex$40.64 +6.4%	15.8%	Mex$47.91	Mex$30.99	n/a	5
Dec ’24	Mex$36.54	Mex$40.64 +11.2%	15.8%	Mex$47.91	Mex$30.99	n/a	5
Nov ’24	Mex$37.28	Mex$43.24 +16.0%	15.8%	Mex$50.98	Mex$32.96	n/a	5
Oct ’24	Mex$40.69	Mex$42.88 +5.4%	15.2%	Mex$50.87	Mex$33.56	n/a	5
Sep ’24	Mex$41.16	Mex$42.88 +4.2%	15.2%	Mex$50.87	Mex$33.56	Mex$32.98	5
Aug ’24	Mex$40.00	Mex$41.63 +4.1%	14.7%	Mex$50.50	Mex$33.31	Mex$36.28	5
Jul ’24	Mex$39.58	Mex$40.80 +3.1%	11.3%	Mex$45.33	Mex$33.12	Mex$37.19	5
Jun ’24	Mex$39.53	Mex$41.21 +4.2%	11.6%	Mex$46.08	Mex$33.22	Mex$40.31	5
May ’24	Mex$41.47	Mex$41.94 +1.1%	11.5%	Mex$46.77	Mex$32.81	Mex$36.56	6
Apr ’24	Mex$41.23	Mex$40.33 -2.2%	14.2%	Mex$45.82	Mex$30.88	Mex$36.79	6
Mar ’24	Mex$41.48	Mex$40.33 -2.8%	14.2%	Mex$45.82	Mex$30.88	Mex$38.08	6
Feb ’24	Mex$41.33	Mex$40.33 -2.4%	14.2%	Mex$45.82	Mex$30.88	Mex$39.80	6
Jan ’24	Mex$37.88	Mex$37.62 -0.7%	10.0%	Mex$42.07	Mex$30.49	Mex$38.20	6
Dec ’23	Mex$42.26	Mex$37.00 -12.4%	9.6%	Mex$41.73	Mex$30.24	Mex$36.54	7
Nov ’23	Mex$37.00	Mex$38.64 +4.4%	11.0%	Mex$45.49	Mex$30.78	Mex$37.28	8
Oct ’23	Mex$33.48	Mex$39.01 +16.5%	12.4%	Mex$47.07	Mex$31.83	Mex$40.69	8
Sep ’23	Mex$32.30	Mex$39.01 +20.8%	12.4%	Mex$47.07	Mex$31.83	Mex$41.16	8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.