Stock Analysis

Is El Puerto de Liverpool. de (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) A Risky Investment?

BMV:LIVEPOL C-1
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de

What Is El Puerto de Liverpool. de's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that El Puerto de Liverpool. de had Mex$31.7b of debt in June 2022, down from Mex$38.6b, one year before. However, it also had Mex$23.6b in cash, and so its net debt is Mex$8.15b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:LIVEPOL C-1 Debt to Equity History September 21st 2022

How Strong Is El Puerto de Liverpool. de's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that El Puerto de Liverpool. de had liabilities of Mex$44.9b due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$50.1b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$23.6b as well as receivables valued at Mex$34.2b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$37.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since El Puerto de Liverpool. de has a market capitalization of Mex$129.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

El Puerto de Liverpool. de has net debt of just 0.31 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 8.0 times, which is more than adequate. In addition to that, we're happy to report that El Puerto de Liverpool. de has boosted its EBIT by 94%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine El Puerto de Liverpool. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, El Puerto de Liverpool. de generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 80% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, El Puerto de Liverpool. de's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Zooming out, El Puerto de Liverpool. de seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in El Puerto de Liverpool. de, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if El Puerto de Liverpool. de might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.