Stock Analysis

Is Arca Continental. de (BMV:AC) Using Too Much Debt?

BMV:AC *
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:AC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Arca Continental. de's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Arca Continental. de had Mex$50.2b of debt, at June 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has Mex$30.2b in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$20.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:AC * Debt to Equity History October 17th 2022

A Look At Arca Continental. de's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Arca Continental. de had liabilities of Mex$39.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$69.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$30.2b as well as receivables valued at Mex$15.3b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total Mex$63.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Arca Continental. de has a huge market capitalization of Mex$246.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Arca Continental. de's net debt is only 0.54 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Arca Continental. de grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Arca Continental. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Arca Continental. de generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Happily, Arca Continental. de's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Arca Continental. de seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Arca Continental. de that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.