Here's Why Arca Continental. de (BMV:AC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:AC) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Arca Continental. de
How Much Debt Does Arca Continental. de Carry?
As you can see below, Arca Continental. de had Mex$53.4b of debt at September 2021, down from Mex$58.3b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of Mex$32.6b, its net debt is less, at about Mex$20.8b.
How Healthy Is Arca Continental. de's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Arca Continental. de had liabilities of Mex$37.0b due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$69.4b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$32.6b as well as receivables valued at Mex$13.3b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$60.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Arca Continental. de is worth a massive Mex$233.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Arca Continental. de's net debt is only 0.61 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.1 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Arca Continental. de grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Arca Continental. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Arca Continental. de recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
The good news is that Arca Continental. de's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its interest cover is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Arca Continental. de's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Arca Continental. de that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BMV:AC *
Arca Continental. de
Produces, distributes, and sells soft drinks in Mexico, Peru, the United States, Argentina, and Ecuador.
Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.