Stock Analysis

Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:AC) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

BMV:AC *
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With its stock down 8.7% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Arca Continental. de (BMV:AC). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Arca Continental. de's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Arca Continental. de

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Arca Continental. de is:

7.6% = Mex$12b ÷ Mex$161b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every MX$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of MX$0.08.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Arca Continental. de's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Arca Continental. de's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 10%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 5.2% net income growth seen by Arca Continental. de over the past five years is definitely a positive. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing Arca Continental. de's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 6.1% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BMV:AC * Past Earnings Growth January 1st 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for AC *? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Arca Continental. de Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Arca Continental. de has a three-year median payout ratio of 42%, which implies that it retains the remaining 58% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Moreover, Arca Continental. de is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 43%. As a result, Arca Continental. de's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 8.8% for future ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Arca Continental. de certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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