Stock Analysis
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at KCTC (KRX:009070) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on KCTC is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.07 = ₩37b ÷ (₩728b - ₩198b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, KCTC has an ROCE of 7.0%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 7.0%.
View our latest analysis for KCTC
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for KCTC's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how KCTC has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of KCTC's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
The returns on capital haven't changed much for KCTC in recent years. The company has employed 91% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 7.0%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
What We Can Learn From KCTC's ROCE
Long story short, while KCTC has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Since the stock has gained an impressive 91% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with KCTC (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A009070
KCTC
Operates as a logistics company in South Korea and internationally.