Stock Analysis

GABIA, Inc.'s (KOSDAQ:079940) Shares Climb 25% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

KOSDAQ:A079940
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The GABIA, Inc. (KOSDAQ:079940) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 5.3% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, GABIA may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x, since almost half of all companies in Korea have P/E ratios under 10x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that GABIA's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for GABIA

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A079940 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 10th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GABIA's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like GABIA's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that GABIA is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

GABIA shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of GABIA revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - GABIA has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.