Stock Analysis
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Earnings Not Telling The Story For CYMECHS Inc. (KOSDAQ:160980) After Shares Rise 36%
CYMECHS Inc. (KOSDAQ:160980) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 36% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 30% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, CYMECHS' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Korea, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For example, consider that CYMECHS' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for CYMECHS
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on CYMECHS' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For CYMECHS?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like CYMECHS' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 10%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 84% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 34% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that CYMECHS is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got CYMECHS' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of CYMECHS revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for CYMECHS (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A160980
CYMECHS
A tool automation company, engages in the provision of core system components for semiconductor manufacturing in South Korea.