Stock Analysis

iFamilySC (KOSDAQ:114840) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

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KOSDAQ:A114840

Despite announcing strong earnings, iFamilySC Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:114840) stock was sluggish. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors that they find to be concerning.

See our latest analysis for iFamilySC

KOSDAQ:A114840 Earnings and Revenue History November 18th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against iFamilySC's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to September 2024, iFamilySC had an accrual ratio of 0.72. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₩15b despite its profit of ₩30.9b, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was ₩9.4b a year ago though, so iFamilySC has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On iFamilySC's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that iFamilySC didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that iFamilySC's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for iFamilySC (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of iFamilySC's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.