Stock Analysis

Here's Why AbClon (KOSDAQ:174900) Can Afford Some Debt

Published
KOSDAQ:A174900

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that AbClon Inc. (KOSDAQ:174900) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for AbClon

What Is AbClon's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 AbClon had debt of ₩12.8b, up from ₩11.8b in one year. However, it also had ₩12.3b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩466.9m.

KOSDAQ:A174900 Debt to Equity History August 4th 2024

How Healthy Is AbClon's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, AbClon had liabilities of ₩18.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩641.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩12.3b and ₩407.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩6.15b.

Of course, AbClon has a market capitalization of ₩216.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, AbClon has a very light debt load indeed. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is AbClon's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year AbClon had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 24%, to ₩2.6b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did AbClon's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost ₩15b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₩13b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for AbClon you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.