Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By NEORIGIN Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:094860) Revenues Despite 27% Price Jump

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KOSDAQ:A094860

NEORIGIN Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:094860) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.1% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about NEORIGIN's P/S ratio of 1.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Entertainment industry in Korea is also close to 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for NEORIGIN

KOSDAQ:A094860 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 26th 2024

What Does NEORIGIN's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, NEORIGIN's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on NEORIGIN's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is NEORIGIN's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, NEORIGIN would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 110% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 17% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that NEORIGIN's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now NEORIGIN's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To our surprise, NEORIGIN revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for NEORIGIN you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NEORIGIN might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.