Stock Analysis

Cosmax Nbt (KOSDAQ:222040) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Published
KOSDAQ:A222040

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Cosmax Nbt, Inc. (KOSDAQ:222040) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Cosmax Nbt

What Is Cosmax Nbt's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cosmax Nbt had ₩201.4b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩69.6b, its net debt is less, at about ₩131.8b.

KOSDAQ:A222040 Debt to Equity History August 6th 2024

A Look At Cosmax Nbt's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cosmax Nbt had liabilities of ₩242.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩25.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩69.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩46.2b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩151.9b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩64.4b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Cosmax Nbt would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3 hit our confidence in Cosmax Nbt like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Cosmax Nbt actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 268%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Cosmax Nbt will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Cosmax Nbt actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Cosmax Nbt's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Cosmax Nbt's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Cosmax Nbt (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.