Stock Analysis
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- KOSDAQ:A083660
Csa Cosmic Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:083660) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
Csa Cosmic Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:083660) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Csa Cosmic's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Korea's Personal Products industry is similar at about 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Csa Cosmic
How Csa Cosmic Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Csa Cosmic's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Csa Cosmic will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Csa Cosmic's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Csa Cosmic's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Csa Cosmic looks to be in line with the rest of the Personal Products industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at Csa Cosmic revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Csa Cosmic (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A083660
Csa Cosmic
Engages in the manufacture and sale of cosmetics in South Korea.