Stock Analysis

Is KT&G (KRX:033780) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSE:A033780
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that KT&G Corporation (KRX:033780) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for KT&G

What Is KT&G's Debt?

As you can see below, KT&G had ₩128.6b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have ₩2.65t in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₩2.52t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A033780 Debt to Equity History March 12th 2021

How Healthy Is KT&G's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that KT&G had liabilities of ₩2.36t falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩395.8b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩2.65t and ₩1.74t worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has ₩1.63t more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that KT&G is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that KT&G has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

KT&G's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KT&G can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While KT&G has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, KT&G produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case KT&G has ₩2.52t in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't think KT&G's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with KT&G .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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