Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, KT&G Corporation (KRX:033780) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is KT&G's Debt?
As you can see below, KT&G had â‚©128.6b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds â‚©2.65t in cash, so it actually has â‚©2.52t net cash.
How Healthy Is KT&G's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, KT&G had liabilities of â‚©2.36t due within 12 months, and liabilities of â‚©395.8b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of â‚©2.65t as well as receivables valued at â‚©1.74t due within 12 months. So it can boast â‚©1.63t more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that KT&G is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that KT&G has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
While KT&G doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine KT&G's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. KT&G may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, KT&G produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that KT&G has net cash of â‚©2.52t, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think KT&G's use of debt is risky. Given KT&G has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About KOSE:A033780
KT&G
Engages in the production, distribution, and sale of tobacco products in South Korea, Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.