Stock Analysis

HDC Hyundai Development's (KRX:294870) 144% return outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same one-year period

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KOSE:A294870

When you buy shares in a company, there is always a risk that the price drops to zero. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the HDC Hyundai Development Company (KRX:294870) share price has soared 132% return in just a single year. On top of that, the share price is up 33% in about a quarter. Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 18% in the last three years.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for HDC Hyundai Development investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's one-year performance.

View our latest analysis for HDC Hyundai Development

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the last year HDC Hyundai Development grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 0.6%. The share price gain of 132% certainly outpaced the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is now more optimistic about the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

KOSE:A294870 Earnings Per Share Growth August 20th 2024

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for HDC Hyundai Development the TSR over the last 1 year was 144%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that HDC Hyundai Development shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 144% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 1.6% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand HDC Hyundai Development better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for HDC Hyundai Development (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on South Korean exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HDC Hyundai Development might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.