Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To SPECO Ltd. (KOSDAQ:013810) With Shares Advancing 33%

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KOSDAQ:A013810

SPECO Ltd. (KOSDAQ:013810) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Korea's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.2x, you may consider SPECO as a stock not worth researching with its 3.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for SPECO

KOSDAQ:A013810 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

What Does SPECO's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at SPECO over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SPECO will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is SPECO's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like SPECO's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 74% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 2.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that SPECO's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From SPECO's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to SPECO's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of SPECO revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SPECO (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of SPECO's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.