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TOTL

Total KenyaNASE:TOTL Stock Report

Market Cap

KSh15.4b

7D

-3.2%

1Y

2.7%

Updated

17 Oct, 2021

Data

Company Financials +
TOTL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends4/6

TOTL Overview

Total Kenya Plc markets and distributes petroleum products and related services to industry, transport, commercial, and domestic users in Kenya.

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Total Kenya
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceKSh24.45
52 Week HighKSh21.50
52 Week LowKSh27.50
Beta0.15
1 Month Change-4.12%
3 Month Change-0.61%
1 Year Change2.73%
3 Year Change-11.09%
5 Year Change29.02%
Change since IPO-23.99%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

TOTLKE Oil and GasKE Market
7D-3.2%-0.7%1.7%
1Y2.7%37.2%30.0%

Return vs Industry: TOTL underperformed the KE Oil and Gas industry which returned 37.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TOTL underperformed the KE Market which returned 30% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TOTL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TOTL volatility
TOTL Beta0.15
Industry Beta0.55
Market Beta1

Stable Share Price: TOTL is not significantly more volatile than the rest of KE stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.

Volatility Over Time: TOTL's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1955390Eric Fanchinihttps://www.total.co.ke

Total Kenya Plc markets and distributes petroleum products and related services to industry, transport, commercial, and domestic users in Kenya. It offers kerosene; petrol, diesel, and motorcycle engine oils; lubricant services for cars and motorcycles; solar lamps for sale through service stations and authorized distributor outlets; and logistics and facilities services. The company also provides liquefied petroleum gas; and cylinders accessories.

Total Kenya Fundamentals Summary

How do Total Kenya's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TOTL fundamental statistics
Market CapKSh15.39b
Earnings (TTM)KSh3.86b
Revenue (TTM)KSh68.46b

4.0x

P/E Ratio

0.2x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
TOTL income statement (TTM)
RevenueKSh68.46b
Cost of RevenueKSh59.31b
Gross ProfitKSh9.15b
ExpensesKSh5.29b
EarningsKSh3.86b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)6.13
Gross Margin13.36%
Net Profit Margin5.64%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did TOTL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.4%

Current Dividend Yield

26%

Payout Ratio

Valuation

Is Total Kenya undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

7.3%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: TOTL (KES24.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (KES26.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOTL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: TOTL is good value based on its PE Ratio (4x) compared to the African Oil and Gas industry average (7.1x).

PE vs Market: TOTL is good value based on its PE Ratio (4x) compared to the KE market (6.5x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: TOTL's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: TOTL is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.6x) compared to the XF Oil and Gas industry average (1.1x).


Future Growth

How is Total Kenya forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

-1.1%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TOTL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: TOTL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TOTL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TOTL's revenue (7.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the KE market (9.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TOTL's revenue (7.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if TOTL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Total Kenya performed over the past 5 years?

8.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: TOTL has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: TOTL's current net profit margins (5.6%) are higher than last year (3.3%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TOTL's earnings have grown by 8.8% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: TOTL's earnings growth over the past year (50.7%) exceeds its 5-year average (8.8% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: TOTL earnings growth over the past year (50.7%) underperformed the Oil and Gas industry 50.7%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: TOTL's Return on Equity (14%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is Total Kenya's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: TOTL's short term assets (KES29.7B) exceed its short term liabilities (KES13.8B).

Long Term Liabilities: TOTL's short term assets (KES29.7B) exceed its long term liabilities (KES2.0B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: TOTL is debt free.

Reducing Debt: TOTL has no debt compared to 5 years ago when its debt to equity ratio was 18.9%.

Debt Coverage: TOTL has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: TOTL has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Total Kenya current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

6.42%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: TOTL's dividend (6.42%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the KE market (4.19%).

High Dividend: TOTL's dividend (6.42%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the KE market (7.8%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: TOTL's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: TOTL's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (25.6%), TOTL's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: TOTL's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be well covered by earnings (36.4% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.3yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Eric Fanchini

0.17

Tenure

Mr. Eric Fanchini serves as Managing Director & Executive Director for Total Kenya Plc since August 2021. He serves as Executive Director at Total Petroleum Ghana Ltd. since September 2, 2017and served as...


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: TOTL's management team is considered experienced (2.3 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: TOTL's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.4 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Total Kenya Plc's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Total Kenya Plc
  • Ticker: TOTL
  • Exchange: NASE
  • Founded: 1955
  • Industry: Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing
  • Sector: Energy
  • Market Cap: KSh15.392b
  • Shares outstanding: 629.54m
  • Website: https://www.total.co.ke

Number of Employees


Location

  • Total Kenya Plc
  • Regal Plaza
  • Limuru Road
  • Nairobi
  • 100
  • Kenya

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/10/17 14:03
End of Day Share Price2021/10/15 00:00
Earnings2021/06/30
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.