Stock Analysis
Toho Gas Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9533) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥40.00 per share on 2nd of December. The payment will take the dividend yield to 1.9%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Toho Gas
Toho Gas' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. However, prior to this announcement, Toho Gas was quite comfortably covering its dividend with earnings and it was paying more than 75% of its free cash flow to shareholders. However, with more than 75% of free cash flow being paid out to shareholders, future growth could potentially be constrained.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 2.4%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 37%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Toho Gas Has A Solid Track Record
The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥45.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥80.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.9% a year over that time. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately, Toho Gas' earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. Earnings growth is slow, but on the plus side, the dividend payout ratio is low and dividends could grow faster than earnings, if the company decides to increase its payout ratio.
Our Thoughts On Toho Gas' Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While Toho Gas is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Toho Gas (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Is Toho Gas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9533
Toho Gas
Engages in the gas, LPG/other energy, electric power, and other businesses in Japan and internationally.