Stock Analysis
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Chubu Electric Power Company (TSE:9502) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Chubu Electric Power Company, Incorporated (TSE:9502) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Chubu Electric Power Company
How Much Debt Does Chubu Electric Power Company Carry?
As you can see below, Chubu Electric Power Company had JP¥3.08t of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had JP¥281.0b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥2.80t.
How Healthy Is Chubu Electric Power Company's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Chubu Electric Power Company had liabilities of JP¥1.17t due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥3.02t falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥281.0b as well as receivables valued at JP¥310.1b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥3.61t more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the JP¥1.20t company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Chubu Electric Power Company would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Strangely Chubu Electric Power Company has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 6.6, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 10.9. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Importantly, Chubu Electric Power Company's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 32% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chubu Electric Power Company's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last two years, Chubu Electric Power Company created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Chubu Electric Power Company's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Chubu Electric Power Company commonly do use debt without problems. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Chubu Electric Power Company has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Chubu Electric Power Company (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9502
Chubu Electric Power Company
Engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and retail of electricity in Japan and internationally.