Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (TSE:9101) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.6% to JP¥5,030 in the week after its latest half-year results. Statutory earnings per share fell badly short of expectations, coming in at JP¥118, some 44% below analyst forecasts, although revenues were okay, approximately in line with analyst estimates at JP¥1.2t. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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After the latest results, the consensus from Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's eleven analysts is for revenues of JP¥2.37t in 2026, which would reflect a measurable 3.4% decline in revenue compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are expected to tumble 25% to JP¥563 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of JP¥2.37t and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥581 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

View our latest analysis for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha

The consensus price target held steady at JP¥5,335, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at JP¥6,500 and the most bearish at JP¥3,530 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 6.7% annualised decline to the end of 2026. That is a notable change from historical growth of 8.2% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 0.3% per year. It's pretty clear that Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥5,335, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.