Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Azbil Corporation's (TSE:6845) Shares

TSE:6845

When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Azbil Corporation (TSE:6845) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 19.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Azbil has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Azbil

TSE:6845 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 24th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Azbil's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Azbil's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Azbil would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 36% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 60% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 2.2% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.6% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's alarming that Azbil's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Azbil's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Azbil's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Azbil that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.