Stock Analysis

We Think TDK (TSE:6762) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

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TSE:6762

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that TDK Corporation (TSE:6762) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for TDK

What Is TDK's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that TDK had debt of JP¥620.8b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from JP¥740.1b over a year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥682.6b in cash, leading to a JP¥61.8b net cash position.

TSE:6762 Debt to Equity History September 7th 2024

How Healthy Is TDK's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TDK had liabilities of JP¥1.11t due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥702.8b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥682.6b in cash and JP¥598.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥529.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded TDK shares are worth a very impressive total of JP¥3.47t, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, TDK boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that TDK has boosted its EBIT by 37%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TDK's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. TDK may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, TDK recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

Although TDK's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥61.8b. And we liked the look of last year's 37% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is TDK's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with TDK .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.