Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of eSOL Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:4420) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 25%

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TSE:4420

eSOL Co.,Ltd. (TSE:4420) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 6.3% over that longer period.

Although its price has dipped substantially, eSOLLtd may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Japan have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for eSOLLtd

TSE:4420 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2024

How eSOLLtd Has Been Performing

eSOLLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on eSOLLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on eSOLLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is eSOLLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like eSOLLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 17% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why eSOLLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On eSOLLtd's P/S

eSOLLtd's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of eSOLLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with eSOLLtd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on eSOLLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.