Stock Analysis
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As BroadBand Tower, Inc. (TSE:3776) Shares Dive 35%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the BroadBand Tower, Inc. (TSE:3776) share price has dived 35% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 3.5% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about BroadBand Tower's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in Japan is also close to 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for BroadBand Tower
What Does BroadBand Tower's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that BroadBand Tower's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on BroadBand Tower will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is BroadBand Tower's Revenue Growth Trending?
BroadBand Tower's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.9% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 5.1% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that BroadBand Tower's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
BroadBand Tower's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We find it unexpected that BroadBand Tower trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with BroadBand Tower (at least 2 which are concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if BroadBand Tower might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3776
BroadBand Tower
Provides computer and media solutions platforms in Japan.