Stock Analysis

SHIFT's (TSE:3697) 20% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

TSE:3697
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SHIFT Inc. (TSE:3697) shareholders might understandably be very concerned that the share price has dropped 38% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. In fact, the share price is 149% higher today. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.

Since it's been a strong week for SHIFT shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for SHIFT

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, SHIFT achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 82% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 20% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSE:3697 Earnings Per Share Growth June 30th 2024

We know that SHIFT has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on SHIFT's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

SHIFT shareholders are down 44% for the year, but the market itself is up 23%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 20% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for SHIFT that you should be aware of.

But note: SHIFT may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.