Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That T.Kawabe (TSE:8123) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

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TSE:8123

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies T.Kawabe & Co., Ltd. (TSE:8123) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for T.Kawabe

What Is T.Kawabe's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that T.Kawabe had JP¥2.49b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥1.48b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥1.01b.

TSE:8123 Debt to Equity History August 7th 2024

A Look At T.Kawabe's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that T.Kawabe had liabilities of JP¥4.99b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥846.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥1.48b in cash and JP¥2.40b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥1.95b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥2.24b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

T.Kawabe's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 21.0 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Pleasingly, T.Kawabe is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 103% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is T.Kawabe's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, T.Kawabe actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that T.Kawabe's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that T.Kawabe takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with T.Kawabe (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if T.Kawabe might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.