Stock Analysis

NEW ART HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7638) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

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TSE:7638

NEW ART HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7638) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For example, consider that NEW ART HOLDINGS' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for NEW ART HOLDINGS

TSE:7638 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on NEW ART HOLDINGS' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For NEW ART HOLDINGS?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as NEW ART HOLDINGS' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 5.8% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that NEW ART HOLDINGS' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that NEW ART HOLDINGS currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - NEW ART HOLDINGS has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NEW ART HOLDINGS might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.