Stock Analysis
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Generation Pass Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3195) Revenues Despite 35% Price Jump
Generation Pass Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3195) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Japan's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may still consider Generation PassLtd as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Generation PassLtd
How Has Generation PassLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Generation PassLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Generation PassLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Generation PassLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Generation PassLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
Generation PassLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.2%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 20% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 7.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Generation PassLtd's P/S falls short of its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Generation PassLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Generation PassLtd currently trades at a low P/S relative to the industry is unexpected considering its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see industry-like revenue growth but a lower than expected P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing downward pressure on the share price. medium-term
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Generation PassLtd (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3195
Generation PassLtd
Offers e-commerce marketing and support services in Japan.