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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:8830) 26% Share Price Plunge
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. (TSE:8830) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Even after such a large drop in price, Sumitomo Realty & Development's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent earnings growth for Sumitomo Realty & Development has been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Sumitomo Realty & Development
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Sumitomo Realty & Development's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 9.4% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.5% each year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Sumitomo Realty & Development is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Sumitomo Realty & Development's P/E
Sumitomo Realty & Development's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sumitomo Realty & Development maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sumitomo Realty & Development (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Sumitomo Realty & Development. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:8830
Sumitomo Realty & Development
Engages in the real estate business in Japan.