Stock Analysis

Synchro Food Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3963) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio

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TSE:3963

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Synchro Food Co., Ltd. (TSE:3963) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 44% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Synchro Food's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Japan, where the median P/E ratio is around 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Synchro Food has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Synchro Food

TSE:3963 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Synchro Food's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Synchro Food?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Synchro Food's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Synchro Food's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Synchro Food's P/E?

Synchro Food's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Synchro Food revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Synchro Food that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Synchro Food. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.