Stock Analysis
Investor Optimism Abounds Nitto Denko Corporation (TSE:6988) But Growth Is Lacking
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 13x in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Nitto Denko Corporation's (TSE:6988) P/E ratio of 12.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Nitto Denko certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nitto Denko would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 58%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 59% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.4% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Nitto Denko's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Nitto Denko's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Nitto Denko with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nitto Denko, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6988
Nitto Denko
Primarily engages in the adhesive tapes business in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Oceania.