Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy ARE Holdings, Inc. (TSE:5857) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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TSE:5857

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that ARE Holdings, Inc. (TSE:5857) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Thus, you can purchase ARE Holdings' shares before the 27th of September in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 18th of November.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥40.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP¥80.00 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, ARE Holdings has a trailing yield of approximately 4.4% on its current stock price of JP¥1826.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether ARE Holdings's dividend is reliable and sustainable. As a result, readers should always check whether ARE Holdings has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

View our latest analysis for ARE Holdings

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. ARE Holdings paid out more than half (71%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 322% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. Unless there were something in the business we're not grasping, this could signal a risk that the dividend may have to be cut in the future.

ARE Holdings paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were ARE Holdings to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

TSE:5857 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. This is why it's a relief to see ARE Holdings earnings per share are up 2.2% per annum over the last five years. Earnings have been growing somewhat, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, ARE Holdings has lifted its dividend by approximately 10% a year on average. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid ARE Holdings? ARE Holdings is paying out a reasonable percentage of its income and an uncomfortably high 322% of its cash flow as dividends. At least earnings per share have been growing steadily. Bottom line: ARE Holdings has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of ARE Holdings don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Be aware that ARE Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.