Stock Analysis

Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Nippon Concrete Industries Co., Ltd. (TSE:5269) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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TSE:5269

It looks like Nippon Concrete Industries Co., Ltd. (TSE:5269) is about to go ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Nippon Concrete Industries' shares before the 27th of September to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 30th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥6.50 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP¥13.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Nippon Concrete Industries has a trailing yield of 3.7% on the current stock price of JP¥351.00. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Nippon Concrete Industries

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Nippon Concrete Industries paid out 121% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Luckily it paid out just 8.4% of its free cash flow last year.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Nippon Concrete Industries fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see how much of its profit Nippon Concrete Industries paid out over the last 12 months.

TSE:5269 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Nippon Concrete Industries's 16% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, Nippon Concrete Industries has increased its dividend at approximately 10% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Nippon Concrete Industries is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

Final Takeaway

Is Nippon Concrete Industries an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 121% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Nippon Concrete Industries's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Nippon Concrete Industries don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. To help with this, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Nippon Concrete Industries that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.