Stock Analysis
Market Cool On artience Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4634) Earnings Pushing Shares 26% Lower
artience Co., Ltd. (TSE:4634) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 15%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, artience may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for artience as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for artience
How Is artience's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as artience's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 103%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 82% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 10% per year during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% per year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that artience is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
artience's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that artience currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for artience you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4634
artience
Engages in the colorants and functional materials, polymers and coatings, printing and information, and packaging materials businesses in Japan, China, Europe, Africa, Asia, the Americas, and internationally.