Stock Analysis
Toho Chemical Industry Company (TSE:4409) stock performs better than its underlying earnings growth over last year
These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the Toho Chemical Industry Company, Limited (TSE:4409) share price is 28% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 17% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns are positive, with the share price up 25% in three years.
Since it's been a strong week for Toho Chemical Industry Company shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for Toho Chemical Industry Company
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the last year Toho Chemical Industry Company grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 13%. This EPS growth is significantly lower than the 28% increase in the share price. This indicates that the market is now more optimistic about the stock.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
This free interactive report on Toho Chemical Industry Company's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Toho Chemical Industry Company the TSR over the last 1 year was 32%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Toho Chemical Industry Company shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 8% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Toho Chemical Industry Company better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Toho Chemical Industry Company you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Toho Chemical Industry Company might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4409
Toho Chemical Industry Company
Manufactures and sells surfactants, specialty chemicals, resins, and industrial chemicals in Japan and internationally.