Aica Kogyo Company, Limited

TSE:4206 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥214.4b

Aica Kogyo Company Valuation

Is 4206 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4206 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4206 (¥3351) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3103.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4206 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4206?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4206 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4206's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4206 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
4634 artience
13.6x6.4%JP¥206.7b
4043 Tokuyama
9.8x15.9%JP¥205.1b
4626 Taiyo Holdings
19.2x15.5%JP¥205.8b
4272 Nippon Kayaku
41.5x34.4%JP¥208.2b
4206 Aica Kogyo Company
13.7x7.5%JP¥214.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4206 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4206's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4206 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4206's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4206 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.7x
Fair PE Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4206 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4206 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,351.00
JP¥4,316.67
+28.8%
3.6%JP¥4,450.00JP¥4,100.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥3,349.00
JP¥4,316.67
+28.9%
3.6%JP¥4,450.00JP¥4,100.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥3,416.00
JP¥4,316.67
+26.4%
3.6%JP¥4,450.00JP¥4,100.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥3,481.00
JP¥4,276.67
+22.9%
4.9%JP¥4,450.00JP¥3,980.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥3,456.00
JP¥4,276.67
+23.7%
4.9%JP¥4,450.00JP¥3,980.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥3,450.00
JP¥4,193.33
+21.5%
4.1%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,980.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥3,704.00
JP¥4,136.67
+11.7%
5.9%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,810.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥3,572.00
JP¥4,136.67
+15.8%
5.9%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,810.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥3,508.00
JP¥3,903.33
+11.3%
5.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,700.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥3,412.00
JP¥4,000.00
+17.2%
5.0%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,800.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,349.00
JP¥3,900.00
+16.5%
2.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,800.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥3,543.00
JP¥3,900.00
+10.1%
2.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,800.00n/a3
Oct ’24JP¥3,337.00
JP¥3,833.33
+14.9%
4.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Sep ’24JP¥3,484.00
JP¥3,833.33
+10.0%
4.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,349.003
Aug ’24JP¥3,361.00
JP¥3,716.67
+10.6%
5.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,550.00JP¥3,416.003
Jul ’24JP¥3,157.00
JP¥3,650.00
+15.6%
7.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,481.003
Jun ’24JP¥2,966.00
JP¥3,783.33
+27.6%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,456.003
May ’24JP¥3,065.00
JP¥3,783.33
+23.4%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,450.003
Apr ’24JP¥3,035.00
JP¥3,783.33
+24.7%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,704.003
Mar ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,783.33
+21.3%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,572.003
Feb ’24JP¥3,075.00
JP¥3,783.33
+23.0%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,508.003
Jan ’24JP¥3,130.00
JP¥3,783.33
+20.9%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,412.003
Dec ’23JP¥3,210.00
JP¥3,666.67
+14.2%
6.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,349.003
Nov ’23JP¥3,190.00
JP¥3,666.67
+14.9%
6.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,543.003
Oct ’23JP¥3,130.00
JP¥3,666.67
+17.1%
6.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,337.003
Sep ’23JP¥3,050.00
JP¥3,666.67
+20.2%
6.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,484.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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